From now on, as "Russkaya Germaniya" writes, whoever, from wherever and wherever they flee, they will end up in Turkish camps. And even if they break through to the shores of, say, Hellas, they will still be caught and sent back to Turkey. And Europe, strictly according to Chancellor Merkel's plan, will replace the chaotic flow of illegal immigrants with a controlled stream of legal selected migrants, totaling about 400,000.
What's the catch? From now on, you cannot knock on the EU's doors asking for asylum without having a special document. And this document will be issued exclusively to those who have passed the Turkish filter. In return, Turkey gets 3 billion euros (to be used to improve the living conditions of those very refugees in camps, where over 2,000,000 displaced persons already reside) and visa-free entry to the EU from October next year. And, given the Russian embargo, additional contingents of European tourists to protect the Turkish tourism industry from dangerous losses.
The latter, perhaps, will be the easiest. After all, despite all the tales of "Russian Antalya," where in its best year 4 million Russians came, and now less than three, more than 5 million residents of Germany vacation in Turkey every year, and adding another million or so to them is just a matter of marketing.
This pact, in fact, removes both the operational problem and solves it at a strategic level. For now, Europe has shifted the "sin" of denying millions of illegal asylum seekers onto Erdogan under a quite acceptable pretext. But those millions themselves will sharply shrink: knowing that instead of fat social benefits in Germany, a Turkish refugee camp awaits them, many will refrain from adventurous plans. The most striking thing is that the very process of negotiations on the EU-Turkey pact has already had a beneficial effect on the number of refugees besieging Germany's borders.
So, if in September days, 10,000 migrants per day were seeking asylum, later that number dropped to 7,000, then last Monday "only" 3,725 refugees reached Germany's border, on Sunday "just" 2,650. And on that same Monday, on the border of Austria and Slovenia, where the refugee flow was boiling until recently, only 12 (twelve) people heading towards Germany were found.
So we can congratulate everyone on the beginning of recovery: the crisis is over, the right antibiotic has been found. The vaccination also took hold: of course, the country is now shaking from it, exactly like with malaria, but it is temporary.